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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+7.83vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+5.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+4.51vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+4.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.22vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.07vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+5.08vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-2.38vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.67vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.74+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-3.47vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-3.23vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.80-7.44vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.79-8.47vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-4.15vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.45-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.08Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.62Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.58Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.56Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.85Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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15.11Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Philip Crain | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Peter Miller | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Raul Rios | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 9.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 13.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 8.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 14.6% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.