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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.16+4.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.81+4.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.31+5.71vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+4.04vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.34vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.73+4.00vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.92+2.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-3.14vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11+3.00vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-1.66vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.00-2.05vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.64-5.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.75vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-8.65vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.78-9.06vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.61-2.67vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.69-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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11.0Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.12Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.0Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.95SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.45College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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14.33Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Sterling | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| Zach Runci | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivlin | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 16.5% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Ted Green | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Mac Mace | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Manchester | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| George Powell | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 35.2% |
| William Pilling | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.