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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.34+11.51vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+5.75vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.74+8.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+5.15vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.44+3.66vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.64vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+3.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.14vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-2.23vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.45+2.97vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-2.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-6.36vs Predicted
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16Brown University4.30-10.29vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-9.43vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.95-10.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.51Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.41Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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7.67Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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14.97Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 15.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 6.4% |
| William Hutchings | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Peter Miller | 4.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% |
| Scott Houck | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Raul Rios | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 53.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 4.2% |
| Philip Crain | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.