← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.49+7.38vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.37+6.98vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.37vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.95+2.91vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.49+3.39vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.60vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.44+1.79vs Predicted
-
8Boston College4.12-1.86vs Predicted
-
9Brown University4.30-3.23vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.80-2.75vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.74+0.46vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.95-1.46vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont3.51-4.35vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.54-1.83vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.70-7.20vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University1.45-0.94vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.34-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.38Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.98Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.91Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.39Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.79Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
-
6.14Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
5.77Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
7.25Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
11.46Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
8.65University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
12.17Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
7.8Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
15.06Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
-
12.74Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| William Hutchings | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Philip Crain | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Peter Miller | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 12.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 53.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.