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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.08vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+1.67vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+2.60vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.57vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+1.60vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-0.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-2.73vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+0.09vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.45+1.97vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.44-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-4.23vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-6.96vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.74-5.52vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.67Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.97Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.48Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Philip Crain | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| William Macdonald | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 11.5% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 52.7% |
| Peter Miller | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.