Race 6C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophie Fisher 18.5% 16.0% 13.9% 11.8% 9.7% 8.8% 7.1% 6.0% 3.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4%
Emily Scherer 4.9% 4.5% 5.8% 6.5% 7.2% 8.5% 7.8% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 11.3% 9.0% 8.2%
Lucy Spearman 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 8.5% 8.3% 10.2% 8.8% 8.3% 9.4% 8.1% 8.5% 5.6% 2.8%
Avery Canavan 4.7% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 6.8% 7.0% 6.9% 8.2% 9.2% 10.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.6%
Ximena Escobar 8.0% 9.1% 8.6% 8.3% 9.0% 8.0% 9.6% 8.7% 9.2% 8.2% 5.7% 4.9% 2.6%
Cordelia Burn 17.1% 14.1% 12.3% 11.8% 11.2% 8.7% 7.5% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Maisie MacGillivray 2.8% 3.5% 3.6% 4.2% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.3% 8.1% 9.7% 11.2% 13.0% 21.1%
Sophia Peck 4.0% 4.8% 5.9% 6.7% 7.1% 6.8% 7.6% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 9.5% 7.8%
Brielle Willoughby 14.4% 14.0% 12.2% 12.6% 11.2% 9.4% 8.8% 5.9% 4.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Lourdes Gallo 3.5% 5.5% 5.1% 5.4% 6.0% 6.7% 7.0% 8.1% 8.6% 10.9% 9.6% 12.2% 11.6%
Lily Flack 3.2% 4.3% 4.6% 4.2% 5.9% 5.6% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 11.7% 14.1% 14.9%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 4.6% 3.6% 5.5% 6.0% 7.2% 7.8% 9.6% 11.8% 15.0% 18.8%
Kay Brunsvold 9.6% 9.2% 10.2% 9.8% 8.8% 9.5% 9.6% 8.8% 7.8% 6.2% 5.1% 3.4% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.