Race 7C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 14.5% 13.2% 12.6% 10.7% 11.5% 9.8% 8.2% 6.6% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Lourdes Gallo 4.3% 4.6% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 6.1% 7.2% 8.4% 10.2% 10.5% 10.7% 11.8% 11.3%
Lucy Spearman 8.0% 7.0% 7.2% 8.8% 8.7% 8.2% 8.6% 9.0% 9.6% 7.6% 8.0% 6.0% 3.4%
Ximena Escobar 7.2% 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 8.0% 8.9% 9.7% 8.9% 8.1% 8.4% 7.8% 4.7% 2.5%
Sophie Fisher 15.2% 15.8% 15.3% 11.3% 11.9% 9.5% 7.0% 5.0% 4.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Cordelia Burn 15.4% 15.3% 13.2% 12.8% 10.5% 9.2% 7.7% 6.2% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Emily Scherer 4.9% 5.1% 6.3% 5.9% 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 9.0% 9.1% 9.8% 10.8% 8.6% 8.0%
Sophia Peck 5.7% 4.2% 5.7% 6.5% 6.0% 7.9% 8.2% 8.0% 9.4% 9.8% 9.6% 10.7% 8.4%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 3.9% 4.4% 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 8.6% 10.0% 11.1% 14.4% 20.9%
Avery Canavan 5.5% 5.5% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 6.4% 7.3% 8.8% 7.1% 9.3% 12.5% 9.2% 9.4%
Lily Flack 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 6.0% 6.5% 8.1% 8.3% 10.9% 9.8% 12.9% 14.3%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.0% 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 5.9% 5.5% 7.0% 7.4% 9.1% 10.3% 16.5% 19.7%
Kay Brunsvold 10.1% 10.3% 9.7% 10.2% 10.2% 9.4% 9.6% 8.6% 7.8% 5.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.