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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+6.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+5.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+5.51vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+7.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+2.15vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.71+5.61vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.44+1.69vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-1.95vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+3.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-3.20vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-3.56vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-6.15vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.51-5.44vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.75vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-3.29vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.87-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.89Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.61Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.18Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.71Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.08Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Crain | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% |
| Peter Miller | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Raul Rios | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 12.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| William Macdonald | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 17.9% |
| Brooke Baker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.