Race 9C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lucy Spearman 6.5% 7.2% 7.6% 8.6% 7.8% 9.6% 8.9% 9.6% 9.8% 8.1% 7.1% 6.0% 3.1%
Sophie Fisher 16.2% 14.0% 14.5% 14.5% 10.1% 8.6% 7.5% 6.2% 3.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Sophia Peck 5.0% 6.3% 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 7.6% 7.2% 8.0% 10.1% 10.7% 10.2% 10.8% 7.8%
Avery Canavan 4.7% 4.7% 5.0% 6.2% 7.2% 7.0% 6.5% 8.8% 8.8% 10.0% 10.7% 10.3% 10.3%
Emily Scherer 5.7% 6.0% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 7.1% 7.9% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.2% 8.8% 7.5%
Lily Flack 3.5% 4.8% 3.8% 3.6% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 6.9% 9.0% 10.1% 12.0% 13.2% 15.1%
Lourdes Gallo 3.5% 4.2% 4.6% 6.5% 5.8% 7.3% 7.3% 8.3% 9.1% 9.4% 8.6% 12.7% 12.6%
Kay Brunsvold 9.8% 11.3% 10.2% 8.1% 9.4% 9.0% 10.1% 8.6% 7.8% 6.3% 4.9% 3.5% 1.1%
Brielle Willoughby 15.6% 13.2% 14.4% 11.0% 10.9% 8.1% 8.5% 6.9% 4.2% 3.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Cordelia Burn 15.2% 13.9% 12.7% 12.0% 11.2% 9.7% 7.9% 6.5% 5.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.1% 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 6.7% 6.4% 9.1% 12.2% 13.6% 20.3%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.5% 3.8% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 7.4% 8.1% 10.2% 11.6% 13.5% 19.0%
Ximena Escobar 7.8% 7.5% 8.0% 8.7% 9.0% 9.6% 9.5% 8.0% 8.9% 8.2% 7.1% 5.3% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.