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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+9.47vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.53vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+4.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+1.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+1.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+2.01vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.26vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-1.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-3.86vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58+1.03vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-3.54vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-0.79vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.87+0.18vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.44-6.17vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.49-8.30vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.47University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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5.63Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.03Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.21Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.18Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Philip Crain | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| William Hutchings | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| William Macdonald | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Raul Rios | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 12.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% |
| Brooke Baker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 38.1% |
| Peter Miller | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.