Race 10C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ximena Escobar 8.2% 8.1% 7.6% 8.8% 8.6% 9.4% 10.6% 8.8% 8.6% 8.2% 6.5% 4.5% 2.1%
Brielle Willoughby 13.3% 13.7% 14.3% 10.8% 12.6% 10.2% 6.8% 6.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Avery Canavan 4.4% 5.0% 6.2% 4.9% 5.7% 7.6% 7.5% 8.2% 9.3% 11.7% 9.8% 10.6% 9.0%
Cordelia Burn 17.0% 16.1% 11.6% 14.0% 9.8% 9.2% 7.5% 5.2% 4.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Lucy Spearman 6.5% 7.3% 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 7.8% 9.9% 9.9% 8.9% 8.1% 8.5% 5.5% 3.5%
Sophie Fisher 17.5% 15.2% 13.9% 12.7% 11.5% 9.2% 7.3% 5.1% 4.2% 1.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Kay Brunsvold 9.7% 8.8% 9.6% 9.1% 10.5% 10.4% 8.8% 8.9% 7.9% 6.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.4%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% 5.9% 7.1% 9.2% 10.5% 10.8% 13.4% 18.3%
Emily Scherer 5.8% 5.5% 6.7% 5.9% 6.3% 7.3% 8.5% 9.2% 7.9% 8.6% 9.6% 10.5% 8.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.8% 3.8% 3.2% 5.1% 4.2% 6.2% 5.1% 6.4% 7.4% 7.8% 12.3% 13.9% 21.6%
Sophia Peck 4.8% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 6.4% 6.2% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 10.5% 10.3% 9.9% 8.2%
Lourdes Gallo 3.7% 4.8% 4.9% 5.2% 6.9% 5.8% 6.5% 8.0% 9.1% 10.4% 11.7% 11.8% 11.3%
Lily Flack 3.2% 3.4% 4.5% 5.6% 4.6% 5.5% 7.0% 7.6% 8.4% 9.2% 10.7% 14.1% 16.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.