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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+4.44vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+6.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+3.86vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+3.32vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.60vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.78vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49+0.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.45vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-3.22vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.44-2.05vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-0.03vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-1.80vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.49-6.31vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-3.35vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.87-2.83vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.6Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.97Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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12.2Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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12.65Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.17Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 14.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Crain | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Miller | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 19.5% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 35.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.