Race 11C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 15.3% 14.5% 12.5% 12.3% 10.8% 9.8% 7.4% 5.7% 4.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Avery Canavan 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 6.8% 7.4% 10.2% 9.3% 9.6% 10.0% 10.4% 8.8%
Lourdes Gallo 4.0% 4.3% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 7.8% 8.5% 9.6% 9.6% 12.0% 11.1% 12.2%
Sophie Fisher 17.9% 16.1% 14.2% 11.9% 10.8% 8.8% 6.0% 5.7% 3.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Lucy Spearman 6.3% 6.6% 8.5% 7.8% 8.2% 7.9% 10.8% 8.8% 8.8% 9.0% 8.5% 5.8% 3.1%
Kay Brunsvold 8.2% 10.0% 11.0% 9.2% 10.6% 10.1% 9.4% 8.6% 7.2% 5.9% 5.1% 3.2% 1.6%
Cordelia Burn 15.9% 14.7% 14.0% 13.2% 10.7% 9.3% 6.8% 6.1% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Lily Flack 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 9.4% 11.3% 12.8% 16.2%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 5.9% 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 11.2% 13.6% 18.4%
Emily Scherer 5.8% 5.3% 5.2% 5.9% 6.3% 8.2% 8.5% 7.8% 10.3% 10.4% 9.6% 9.2% 7.6%
Ximena Escobar 6.9% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 9.9% 8.3% 9.1% 7.8% 6.3% 5.9% 2.6%
Sophia Peck 5.0% 5.5% 4.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.1% 8.2% 8.7% 8.9% 10.4% 9.8% 9.8% 7.7%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 5.2% 6.6% 7.6% 9.8% 10.9% 15.8% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.