← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.80+6.29vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.95+4.88vs Predicted
-
3Brown University4.30+2.59vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.58+8.09vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.44+3.69vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.34+6.99vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.54+5.15vs Predicted
-
8Wesleyan University1.87+5.92vs Predicted
-
9Boston College4.12-2.54vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.49-1.45vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-3.33vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont3.51-3.40vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.79-5.40vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.70-6.01vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.93-4.16vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.56vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.37-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.29Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
6.88Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
5.59Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
12.09Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
8.69Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
-
12.99Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
12.15Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
13.92Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.46Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
8.55Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.6University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
7.6Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.99Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
10.84University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
6.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.22Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 13.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
| Peter Miller | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 20.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.7% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 37.7% |
| Raul Rios | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Philip Crain | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| James Simmons | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.