Race 12B

neisa-dinghy-champs-cg-alumni-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Tommy Fink 13.7% 12.2% 10.2% 10.8% 7.5% 8.7% 7.1% 6.5% 6.0% 5.9% 4.3% 3.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Raul Rios 10.1% 9.7% 11.0% 7.9% 10.4% 7.8% 7.8% 8.0% 6.0% 5.5% 4.8% 3.8% 3.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Peter Miller 5.0% 4.9% 5.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 6.7% 8.1% 6.8% 5.9% 3.9% 2.1%
Philip Crain 7.8% 7.8% 6.7% 6.3% 7.0% 6.3% 8.1% 7.4% 7.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 5.8% 4.5% 2.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Jordan Factor 5.5% 6.6% 6.8% 5.0% 6.6% 6.9% 5.5% 6.9% 7.2% 6.0% 7.3% 7.9% 5.7% 6.5% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
Ryan Astwood 6.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 7.8% 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 6.0% 6.1% 8.8% 7.1% 5.0% 3.1% 2.5% 0.5%
Andrew Mollerus 7.2% 6.7% 6.8% 6.5% 7.9% 7.9% 7.4% 7.8% 7.5% 8.8% 5.9% 6.3% 3.9% 4.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Scott Houck 5.5% 6.3% 6.7% 7.1% 5.5% 5.9% 4.8% 6.6% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% 6.0% 7.8% 6.5% 6.2% 3.6% 1.2%
Elise Gehling 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 2.1% 3.6% 4.9% 4.2% 5.3% 7.3% 9.0% 12.4% 16.3% 20.9%
Christopher Segerblom 6.9% 8.1% 7.9% 7.3% 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 6.4% 7.1% 5.7% 7.5% 5.4% 5.6% 3.9% 2.2% 1.8% 0.7%
James Simmons 3.6% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 3.5% 2.8% 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 4.8% 7.4% 6.1% 8.7% 9.2% 11.5% 11.0% 5.6%
Brooke Baker 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 3.9% 4.9% 3.7% 7.6% 10.4% 15.2% 38.5%
Avery Fanning 9.8% 9.0% 7.7% 9.6% 8.7% 10.3% 7.6% 6.7% 6.1% 7.3% 3.9% 3.7% 3.5% 2.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Kaylee Schwitzer 1.4% 2.8% 2.0% 2.1% 3.5% 2.5% 4.3% 3.2% 4.1% 3.7% 4.8% 6.7% 8.7% 9.8% 11.3% 17.3% 11.8%
William Macdonald 9.7% 9.2% 7.9% 7.5% 8.2% 5.7% 6.7% 7.4% 7.7% 7.3% 6.6% 5.3% 4.1% 2.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
William Hutchings 4.0% 2.9% 5.6% 7.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.0% 7.3% 6.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.4% 7.1% 8.5% 6.9% 3.8% 2.0%
Robert Lippincott 1.4% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 4.2% 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% 5.7% 5.2% 5.9% 7.3% 9.4% 12.1% 15.9% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.