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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+4.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+5.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.47vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+2.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.81vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.51+1.68vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70-0.19vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.02vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-2.33vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-3.82vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-1.19vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.87+1.22vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.44-4.92vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-2.22vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-3.80vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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14.22Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.2Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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12.22Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Philip Crain | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Scott Houck | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| James Simmons | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 39.3% |
| Peter Miller | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 19.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.