Race 1A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.3% 10.0% 10.3% 12.8% 10.9% 11.9% 9.8% 8.0% 7.4% 5.5% 3.1% 0.8%
Mitchell Callahan 25.1% 22.4% 15.8% 12.9% 9.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 5.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.4% 8.5% 9.4% 9.4% 10.0% 11.2% 11.6% 9.8% 5.3%
Adrien Bellanger 7.0% 7.6% 7.9% 9.3% 8.8% 9.0% 11.4% 10.4% 9.5% 10.2% 6.7% 2.1%
Sam Monaghan 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 8.1% 8.8% 10.2% 10.2% 11.5% 10.1% 9.2% 6.5% 3.9%
Harry Stevenson 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 5.2% 7.0% 8.2% 15.8% 46.5%
Nicholas Reeser 20.8% 18.9% 18.3% 13.3% 10.8% 8.1% 4.3% 2.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Christian Cushman 3.9% 4.9% 5.4% 6.1% 7.1% 8.3% 10.3% 10.7% 11.4% 11.2% 13.1% 7.6%
Jonathan Chance 5.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.5% 9.0% 11.2% 10.0% 10.8% 9.8% 5.7%
Nalu Ho 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 9.5% 13.0% 19.8% 21.4%
Ella Hubbard 5.2% 6.5% 8.4% 8.2% 9.7% 10.2% 11.2% 9.8% 10.5% 10.2% 7.0% 3.1%
Joshua Dillon 6.7% 5.5% 8.2% 8.5% 10.4% 10.5% 9.3% 10.1% 10.4% 8.7% 8.1% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.