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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.98vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+6.23vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.57vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+1.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.31+1.20vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.81-1.78vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.92+1.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.16-4.85vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.78-4.30vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.73-1.52vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.00-3.75vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.61+0.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-5.87vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.11-3.14vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.69-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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7.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.59University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.48Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.25SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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15.1Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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13.86Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christian Manchester | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Sachs | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Ted Green | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| George Powell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 34.8% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| William Pilling | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 20.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.