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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+6.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+5.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+2.76vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.84vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+2.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+0.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+3.20vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.44-1.17vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+1.94vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-1.17vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-4.21vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-6.25vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.49-6.21vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.87-2.75vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.2Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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14.25Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.27Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Crain | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 12.0% |
| Peter Miller | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 22.7% |
| James Simmons | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 38.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.