Race 2A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 11.8% 10.8% 11.1% 10.8% 8.8% 7.2% 5.9% 3.3% 0.6%
Christian Cushman 4.3% 5.7% 5.5% 5.6% 8.8% 7.6% 9.2% 9.6% 11.3% 12.2% 13.7% 6.4%
Joshua Dillon 6.7% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 8.8% 10.3% 9.5% 10.8% 10.3% 10.8% 6.6% 2.8%
Mitchell Callahan 24.1% 21.4% 17.8% 12.8% 9.6% 5.8% 4.7% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Reeser 20.3% 18.2% 17.2% 13.4% 9.8% 8.7% 5.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Chance 5.7% 5.7% 6.3% 7.6% 8.3% 9.2% 10.1% 10.2% 11.2% 11.3% 8.6% 5.5%
Ella Hubbard 6.8% 7.6% 8.2% 8.5% 9.8% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 9.3% 7.2% 4.0%
Nalu Ho 2.8% 2.9% 4.2% 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 7.2% 8.6% 9.4% 11.2% 19.4% 21.4%
Benjamin Stevens 5.1% 5.4% 5.4% 7.5% 8.3% 10.2% 9.3% 12.0% 10.5% 11.5% 9.5% 5.2%
Sam Monaghan 6.3% 7.7% 7.1% 8.4% 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 10.0% 10.5% 9.3% 8.3% 4.8%
Adrien Bellanger 7.0% 6.7% 8.6% 9.3% 10.2% 10.5% 10.7% 10.1% 9.2% 7.6% 7.4% 2.7%
Harry Stevenson 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 6.3% 9.4% 15.9% 46.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.