Race 3A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mitchell Callahan 25.6% 20.2% 17.0% 13.4% 8.2% 6.8% 4.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Christian Cushman 4.7% 4.7% 5.8% 6.6% 8.2% 9.2% 9.7% 8.6% 10.1% 11.9% 13.0% 7.5%
Ella Hubbard 6.3% 6.9% 8.3% 8.3% 9.4% 9.3% 10.2% 11.1% 10.2% 9.3% 7.4% 3.0%
Sam Monaghan 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 8.0% 9.3% 9.4% 9.2% 11.0% 10.9% 9.6% 7.8% 3.6%
Joshua Dillon 5.6% 6.6% 7.8% 7.0% 9.5% 9.5% 11.5% 10.2% 9.5% 9.7% 8.8% 4.3%
Adrien Bellanger 6.5% 9.4% 8.2% 11.6% 8.5% 10.7% 9.0% 9.8% 9.6% 7.8% 6.4% 2.5%
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.8% 11.2% 11.2% 10.2% 10.6% 11.9% 9.8% 9.2% 7.0% 5.1% 3.0% 0.9%
Harry Stevenson 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 6.2% 9.8% 14.5% 45.5%
Nalu Ho 2.8% 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 4.8% 6.2% 7.5% 10.0% 13.9% 19.2% 20.6%
Nicholas Reeser 20.5% 17.8% 15.9% 14.3% 11.2% 8.2% 6.0% 2.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 5.7% 8.1% 8.2% 10.5% 10.5% 12.3% 11.2% 10.0% 6.0%
Jonathan Chance 5.0% 5.3% 6.2% 8.6% 8.7% 8.5% 9.4% 11.2% 10.8% 10.8% 9.6% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.