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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+9.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+3.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+0.61vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44+3.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.61vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-0.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-1.01vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+2.22vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+1.93vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-4.07vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-5.86vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.51-5.21vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-7.41vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-3.81vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.87-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.63University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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6.39Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.22Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.19Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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14.25Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Philip Crain | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 12.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 21.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.2% |
| Brooke Baker | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.