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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+3.94vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+4.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+2.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47+0.27vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+2.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.52-1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.72+2.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-0.93vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.56-1.82vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.48+0.44vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.55+1.66vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-6.76vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-4.34vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.38-3.13vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.27Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.58Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.44Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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13.66Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.24Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.87Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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14.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 11.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 14.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 23.8% | 32.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 8.2% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 24.2% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.