Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.7% 9.8% 10.8% 11.8% 10.1% 11.8% 9.8% 9.3% 7.7% 5.9% 2.8% 0.5%
Nicholas Reeser 20.1% 17.8% 16.1% 15.2% 10.4% 8.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Jonathan Chance 5.0% 6.0% 6.7% 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 9.7% 11.0% 10.8% 10.6% 9.8% 4.9%
Joshua Dillon 6.3% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 9.7% 9.4% 9.2% 10.7% 10.7% 9.1% 8.2% 4.0%
Mitchell Callahan 24.1% 21.9% 18.1% 11.3% 9.3% 6.6% 5.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Christian Cushman 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 9.1% 9.3% 12.4% 12.5% 12.8% 7.1%
Benjamin Stevens 5.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 10.0% 10.1% 10.2% 10.8% 10.5% 5.7%
Nalu Ho 2.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 6.3% 8.7% 9.8% 12.8% 20.0% 20.4%
Sam Monaghan 6.4% 7.0% 7.7% 7.4% 9.4% 9.7% 11.2% 10.2% 10.3% 9.9% 7.5% 3.3%
Ella Hubbard 6.8% 6.6% 8.1% 10.0% 10.5% 10.1% 10.3% 10.4% 9.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6%
Adrien Bellanger 7.8% 7.6% 8.0% 9.7% 10.2% 9.9% 9.3% 10.5% 9.2% 7.9% 7.1% 2.7%
Harry Stevenson 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 3.1% 4.2% 4.8% 6.4% 9.2% 15.3% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.