Race 5A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mitchell Callahan 26.9% 21.9% 15.8% 13.6% 8.3% 5.3% 4.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 8.6% 8.8% 9.4% 10.6% 11.7% 10.8% 9.7% 5.9%
Nicholas Reeser 19.9% 19.1% 17.8% 13.7% 10.2% 8.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.8% 10.0% 11.3% 11.7% 12.0% 10.9% 10.2% 8.0% 7.0% 4.9% 3.2% 0.9%
Christian Cushman 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 7.6% 8.1% 8.1% 8.5% 9.7% 10.9% 11.3% 11.8% 8.2%
Ella Hubbard 5.9% 6.7% 7.9% 9.0% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 11.2% 10.1% 10.1% 7.3% 2.9%
Adrien Bellanger 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 9.8% 9.1% 11.5% 10.1% 9.3% 9.4% 8.6% 6.3% 3.0%
Sam Monaghan 5.8% 5.9% 7.6% 7.4% 10.2% 9.6% 9.8% 11.5% 11.6% 9.7% 7.8% 3.0%
Benjamin Stevens 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 7.8% 8.5% 9.0% 10.2% 10.4% 10.8% 11.9% 10.2% 5.3%
Harry Stevenson 1.2% 2.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.2% 9.4% 14.8% 47.5%
Joshua Dillon 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 9.6% 10.7% 10.9% 11.2% 9.7% 8.2% 3.6%
Nalu Ho 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 3.1% 4.9% 5.8% 6.9% 8.0% 9.5% 12.9% 20.2% 19.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.