Race 6A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Kaplan 8.9% 11.2% 10.9% 11.2% 12.4% 10.3% 10.1% 7.5% 7.8% 5.6% 3.3% 0.7%
Ella Hubbard 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 8.2% 10.0% 10.1% 9.0% 11.0% 9.1% 9.6% 6.9% 3.4%
Sam Monaghan 7.3% 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 8.5% 10.5% 11.6% 8.7% 9.5% 9.3% 7.8% 3.5%
Mitchell Callahan 25.2% 19.2% 16.4% 13.8% 9.6% 7.0% 4.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 5.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.9% 7.7% 9.0% 10.0% 10.8% 12.0% 11.5% 9.2% 5.5%
Christian Cushman 5.2% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.3% 10.8% 10.2% 12.4% 11.9% 6.9%
Nicholas Reeser 20.2% 19.9% 17.0% 14.1% 9.4% 7.6% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 4.2% 6.0% 6.7% 7.8% 8.8% 8.6% 8.5% 10.9% 10.8% 11.2% 10.9% 5.5%
Joshua Dillon 5.8% 7.0% 6.5% 8.1% 10.1% 9.0% 11.1% 11.5% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 3.6%
Adrien Bellanger 7.2% 6.8% 8.4% 10.0% 8.4% 9.7% 9.7% 11.0% 10.3% 9.3% 6.3% 2.9%
Nalu Ho 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 3.0% 4.7% 6.3% 6.3% 7.1% 10.6% 11.0% 19.2% 22.2%
Harry Stevenson 1.1% 0.9% 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.6% 6.9% 9.5% 15.8% 45.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.