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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+4.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+3.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+2.28vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.45+4.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.93vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.55-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.72+3.78vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.48+3.36vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13-2.70vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-3.78vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-1.31vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.56-3.86vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-4.96vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-0.74vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.55-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.13Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.67Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.16Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.14Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.6Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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14.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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13.79Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 13.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| David Larson | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 3.5% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 5.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 47.6% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 27.4% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.