Race 8A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jonathan Chance 5.9% 5.0% 6.9% 7.1% 8.5% 8.9% 9.2% 11.7% 11.6% 11.1% 8.9% 5.3%
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.6% 9.8% 11.8% 11.9% 11.2% 10.9% 10.1% 8.9% 6.3% 5.1% 3.4% 0.9%
Nicholas Reeser 22.7% 19.5% 15.8% 13.1% 9.9% 7.7% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Mitchell Callahan 24.3% 21.6% 16.4% 13.3% 10.0% 6.9% 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 6.0% 6.6% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.9% 11.3% 10.4% 9.9% 11.0% 7.5% 3.5%
Christian Cushman 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% 6.1% 7.5% 8.2% 9.6% 9.5% 12.4% 12.8% 12.3% 7.6%
Adrien Bellanger 6.9% 8.1% 7.7% 9.4% 8.8% 10.1% 10.6% 10.5% 9.2% 9.2% 6.8% 2.8%
Ella Hubbard 6.3% 7.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.4% 10.8% 9.7% 8.8% 6.4% 3.9%
Harry Stevenson 1.0% 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 4.8% 6.9% 8.6% 16.8% 44.6%
Joshua Dillon 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 9.3% 10.0% 10.2% 9.3% 11.2% 9.3% 8.0% 3.5%
Benjamin Stevens 4.7% 5.5% 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 10.2% 9.7% 10.3% 10.6% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3%
Nalu Ho 2.3% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 5.1% 4.8% 6.6% 7.8% 9.3% 11.8% 20.4% 22.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.