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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+5.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.56+6.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+2.28vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy1.38+7.79vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55+0.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29-0.09vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45+1.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.48+3.36vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-0.98vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.08vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.52-5.91vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-5.68vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72-2.24vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.55-0.38vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-5.09vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.04Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.79Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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5.03Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.58Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.32Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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13.62Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Renehan | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Connor Needham | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 9.9% |
| Ryan Mullins | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 6.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| David Larson | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 26.1% | 29.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 21.5% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.