Race 1B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Wallace 17.5% 15.5% 14.4% 13.8% 12.0% 9.9% 7.0% 5.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Ethan Danielson 13.2% 14.0% 13.7% 12.8% 12.5% 9.6% 10.3% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.6% 3.9% 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 5.3% 7.8% 9.3% 11.5% 15.0% 20.5% 12.2%
Christine Reimer 7.8% 9.5% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 10.5% 10.5% 10.8% 9.1% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0%
Adrian Winkelman 18.6% 15.0% 14.7% 12.6% 11.5% 10.2% 7.8% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Ashley Arruda 4.7% 4.9% 5.0% 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 11.4% 12.0% 14.6% 12.3% 5.3%
Peter McGonagle 11.2% 11.3% 12.4% 12.2% 11.3% 10.0% 9.9% 7.7% 6.5% 4.7% 2.4% 0.4%
Griffen Horne 2.6% 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 7.6% 7.2% 10.7% 14.2% 15.0% 16.0% 9.2%
Marina Garrido 13.0% 12.0% 11.8% 11.5% 11.6% 11.1% 10.8% 7.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Sandra Yale 4.3% 5.1% 6.2% 6.3% 7.1% 9.8% 9.7% 11.9% 13.7% 11.7% 10.2% 4.0%
Gray Dinsel 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.9% 7.5% 14.1% 57.6%
Aidan Pesce 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.7% 5.5% 6.3% 7.0% 9.1% 13.0% 15.4% 18.3% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.