Race 2B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christine Reimer 8.3% 9.0% 8.6% 8.6% 10.6% 10.9% 11.0% 11.3% 10.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.6%
Adrian Winkelman 17.9% 15.2% 15.8% 13.2% 12.0% 9.2% 7.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Wallace 19.2% 14.9% 14.8% 15.3% 10.0% 9.3% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Griffen Horne 3.6% 3.6% 4.4% 4.8% 5.2% 6.6% 7.4% 10.5% 12.1% 15.1% 18.2% 8.3%
Ethan Danielson 13.0% 15.8% 14.7% 12.2% 11.0% 11.2% 8.8% 5.9% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Sandra Yale 5.5% 5.9% 6.4% 5.7% 8.1% 8.1% 9.8% 11.1% 12.9% 13.9% 9.2% 3.6%
Aidan Pesce 3.0% 3.2% 3.9% 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 8.6% 10.8% 13.1% 14.3% 17.4% 10.2%
Marina Garrido 11.6% 13.1% 12.1% 12.2% 11.5% 12.6% 9.4% 7.0% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Ashley Arruda 3.3% 4.6% 4.5% 6.2% 7.4% 8.9% 9.8% 11.8% 12.3% 14.3% 11.6% 5.3%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.5% 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 7.0% 9.7% 11.2% 15.1% 21.1% 14.8%
Peter McGonagle 11.1% 10.8% 10.0% 11.5% 13.1% 11.2% 10.6% 8.5% 7.1% 4.1% 1.9% 0.1%
Gray Dinsel 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 3.5% 3.5% 5.9% 8.8% 13.9% 55.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.