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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+3.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+3.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.56+5.12vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+2.29vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+3.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.55-0.89vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.48+3.36vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.38+2.68vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-3.65vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.72-0.29vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-3.97vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.55+0.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-4.33vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.29-9.10vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.12Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.54Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.11Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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11.68Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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13.71Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.67Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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14.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 14.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| John Renehan | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Mullins | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 6.3% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 8.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 24.1% | 32.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Emily Billing | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 22.8% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.