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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+4.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+4.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+1.37vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+4.89vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.55-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.72+3.79vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-1.97vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-0.54vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.38+1.82vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.48+0.40vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.56-3.92vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-7.25vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.55-0.35vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-6.86vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.37Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.16Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.46Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.82Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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11.4Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.65Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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14.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| John Renehan | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 8.2% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Billing | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 30.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 22.1% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.