Race 3B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Wallace 16.6% 18.3% 14.3% 13.3% 12.3% 9.4% 6.7% 5.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 17.8% 15.6% 15.2% 14.0% 11.8% 8.8% 7.0% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Christine Reimer 10.2% 8.6% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 11.6% 10.4% 11.2% 9.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.0%
Ethan Danielson 13.1% 13.7% 14.2% 12.7% 11.8% 11.4% 8.7% 6.6% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Aidan Pesce 3.2% 3.9% 4.2% 4.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.8% 10.5% 13.4% 14.6% 17.3% 8.5%
Peter McGonagle 10.6% 11.3% 11.1% 11.7% 11.2% 12.6% 11.2% 7.8% 6.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
Ashley Arruda 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 6.4% 7.2% 6.8% 9.4% 11.5% 12.8% 15.6% 11.8% 5.2%
Sandra Yale 4.5% 5.2% 6.4% 5.9% 6.5% 8.5% 10.3% 11.8% 13.8% 13.0% 10.7% 3.6%
Marina Garrido 12.3% 12.3% 13.2% 12.2% 11.7% 10.2% 10.3% 7.3% 5.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Griffen Horne 3.7% 3.1% 4.1% 5.1% 5.1% 7.0% 8.7% 11.1% 11.7% 14.7% 15.7% 10.1%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.9% 2.7% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 5.2% 6.5% 8.1% 12.3% 15.8% 20.9% 14.6%
Gray Dinsel 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 4.1% 4.7% 8.1% 15.6% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.