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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.32vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+6.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.81+4.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+4.58vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.69+9.77vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73+5.70vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+0.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.16-3.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.31-0.46vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-4.46vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.00-1.10vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-3.07vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.92-3.40vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.11-1.31vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.78-8.56vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.61-1.77vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-10.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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14.77University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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11.7Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.54University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.9SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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10.6Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.69Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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15.23Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| William Pilling | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 31.5% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 5.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ted Green | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Burd | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Zach Runci | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 15.4% |
| Christian Manchester | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| George Powell | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 21.8% | 36.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.