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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+7.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+5.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.62+5.17vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.06+2.30vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44+4.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.78+2.21vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+3.75vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.95+2.32vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.72+4.00vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.10-3.76vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-4.14vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.21-2.66vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.65+0.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-3.63vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.73-8.54vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-6.61vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.26-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69North Carolina State University1.575.2%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.687.7%1st Place
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8.17Fordham University1.627.2%1st Place
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6.3Tulane University2.0610.4%1st Place
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9.02George Washington University1.444.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy1.785.9%1st Place
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10.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.003.1%1st Place
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10.32Boston University0.953.5%1st Place
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13.0Hampton University0.722.1%1st Place
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6.24Jacksonville University2.1010.5%1st Place
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6.86University of Miami2.3210.6%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University1.214.9%1st Place
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13.34Christopher Newport University0.651.2%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University1.594.0%1st Place
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6.46Webb Institute1.739.2%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont0.874.7%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University1.265.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Zander King | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 26.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 33.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.