Race 4B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Wallace 17.1% 17.9% 15.2% 12.7% 12.0% 9.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 14.9% 12.2% 14.7% 12.7% 11.8% 11.6% 9.0% 6.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 4.1% 3.4% 6.2% 6.9% 8.2% 11.8% 17.6% 19.8% 13.7%
Christine Reimer 8.2% 9.8% 8.1% 9.2% 11.3% 10.2% 11.2% 11.7% 8.8% 6.7% 3.6% 1.2%
Adrian Winkelman 17.5% 14.1% 15.4% 14.8% 11.5% 8.8% 6.8% 5.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Marina Garrido 12.9% 12.8% 13.2% 12.2% 11.7% 11.9% 10.1% 6.6% 4.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Aidan Pesce 3.4% 3.7% 3.1% 4.7% 4.6% 5.9% 8.1% 10.1% 13.2% 15.7% 18.4% 9.2%
Sandra Yale 4.7% 5.2% 6.5% 6.5% 7.8% 9.0% 9.5% 12.2% 12.4% 11.7% 10.5% 4.2%
Ashley Arruda 4.5% 5.3% 4.0% 5.5% 6.8% 7.7% 9.6% 12.0% 13.6% 13.4% 12.4% 5.3%
Peter McGonagle 10.5% 10.3% 11.6% 11.5% 12.5% 11.5% 10.8% 8.6% 6.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Griffen Horne 3.2% 4.6% 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 5.4% 8.2% 10.2% 13.2% 15.1% 16.9% 10.0%
Gray Dinsel 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 5.5% 7.8% 14.8% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.