Race 5B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ethan Danielson 14.2% 14.1% 12.6% 13.2% 11.2% 10.8% 8.7% 7.0% 4.9% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Peter McGonagle 10.3% 9.7% 11.8% 11.7% 13.0% 10.3% 10.3% 9.7% 6.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Adrian Winkelman 18.6% 15.3% 14.7% 13.0% 10.1% 10.5% 7.0% 5.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Christine Reimer 9.3% 9.3% 8.6% 8.5% 10.8% 10.8% 10.9% 11.6% 9.3% 6.0% 4.1% 0.7%
Matthew Wallace 17.5% 16.0% 15.5% 14.1% 11.6% 9.6% 6.4% 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Marina Garrido 12.2% 12.8% 13.2% 12.4% 10.5% 10.5% 10.2% 7.1% 6.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Ashley Arruda 4.3% 5.3% 5.0% 5.5% 6.8% 8.1% 10.1% 11.5% 12.2% 14.1% 12.4% 4.7%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 8.2% 12.6% 16.1% 18.9% 14.8%
Griffen Horne 2.6% 4.2% 4.7% 4.2% 5.2% 6.7% 8.2% 9.5% 12.2% 16.8% 16.8% 9.0%
Sandra Yale 4.4% 5.5% 5.7% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 10.7% 11.4% 12.7% 12.2% 9.6% 3.6%
Aidan Pesce 3.2% 4.0% 3.5% 4.4% 6.6% 6.2% 7.8% 9.8% 12.2% 15.2% 18.1% 9.1%
Gray Dinsel 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 5.2% 8.1% 14.6% 57.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.