Race 6B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christine Reimer 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 10.3% 11.5% 10.6% 10.7% 11.2% 8.6% 6.8% 3.2% 0.9%
Marina Garrido 12.8% 12.9% 12.4% 12.0% 10.7% 11.8% 9.2% 8.0% 6.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Sandra Yale 5.1% 5.7% 5.8% 7.4% 5.9% 8.7% 9.6% 12.4% 12.2% 13.4% 10.2% 3.7%
Adrian Winkelman 16.1% 16.1% 14.8% 13.6% 12.2% 9.4% 7.9% 5.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Ashley Arruda 4.2% 5.3% 5.5% 5.1% 6.7% 7.6% 9.3% 10.1% 13.2% 14.8% 11.8% 6.3%
Ethan Danielson 15.1% 13.8% 13.9% 11.8% 13.1% 9.9% 9.6% 6.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 18.1% 14.8% 14.6% 14.9% 11.1% 9.4% 7.6% 5.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Griffen Horne 3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 4.2% 5.9% 7.3% 6.3% 10.3% 13.1% 14.8% 17.4% 9.8%
Peter McGonagle 11.3% 10.9% 11.8% 11.2% 11.6% 11.4% 11.0% 8.6% 5.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Aidan Pesce 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 6.3% 8.3% 10.0% 12.5% 15.6% 17.3% 9.0%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.4% 4.2% 5.2% 8.1% 8.8% 13.3% 15.1% 20.3% 13.4%
Gray Dinsel 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 2.4% 2.5% 4.1% 5.7% 7.8% 15.6% 56.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.