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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+4.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+3.12vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+3.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+1.90vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.55+8.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-0.06vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-0.53vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+4.25vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-4.86vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.56-3.91vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.48-1.53vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.72-4.16vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.38-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.72Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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5.34Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.47Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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11.86Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Nelson | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 25.2% | 32.4% |
| David Larson | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 12.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 21.8% | 47.2% |
| John Renehan | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.