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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+3.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+3.13vs Predicted
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3Harvard University-0.32+5.04vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.76+1.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.96-0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.35-2.04vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.18-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08-0.94vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.17-1.53vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College-0.52-1.35vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-2.92vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.55-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Northeastern University1.5917.2%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0811.3%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University-0.323.6%1st Place
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5.69Bowdoin College0.768.8%1st Place
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4.89Tufts University0.9612.3%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University1.3516.5%1st Place
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4.41Bowdoin College1.1815.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Vermont0.085.1%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University0.173.8%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College-0.522.2%1st Place
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8.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.313.1%1st Place
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10.62Bates College-1.551.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Adrian Winkelman | 17.2% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Peter McGonagle | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Aidan Pesce | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 8.8% |
Christine Reimer | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Marina Garrido | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Matthew Wallace | 16.5% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Ethan Danielson | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Sandra Yale | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
Ashley Arruda | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
Charlie Apolinsky | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 14.0% |
Griffen Horne | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 8.8% |
Gray Dinsel | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.