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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adrian Winkelman 17.2% 15.7% 14.2% 14.1% 12.4% 9.8% 7.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter McGonagle 11.3% 10.0% 11.6% 10.8% 11.3% 11.7% 10.4% 9.5% 7.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Aidan Pesce 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 6.9% 8.2% 9.8% 12.3% 15.2% 17.4% 8.8%
Christine Reimer 8.8% 9.5% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 9.9% 11.3% 11.3% 9.2% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9%
Marina Garrido 12.3% 12.2% 11.2% 11.7% 10.9% 12.3% 9.8% 8.2% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 16.5% 16.5% 15.2% 13.7% 12.8% 9.5% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 15.1% 13.5% 13.2% 13.1% 12.8% 9.7% 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Sandra Yale 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.1% 9.6% 11.3% 12.4% 13.0% 10.0% 4.0%
Ashley Arruda 3.8% 5.1% 5.6% 5.9% 6.8% 8.2% 10.1% 9.0% 13.4% 13.2% 12.8% 6.1%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.0% 5.0% 7.2% 9.4% 10.8% 16.4% 20.4% 14.0%
Griffen Horne 3.1% 4.0% 3.6% 4.5% 5.0% 7.2% 8.8% 10.2% 12.7% 15.8% 16.3% 8.8%
Gray Dinsel 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.9% 6.0% 8.1% 15.4% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.