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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.96+3.84vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.08+5.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.35+0.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.18+0.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+0.03vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.52+2.45vs Predicted
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7Harvard University-0.32+1.16vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.59-4.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.17-1.47vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-1.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.76-5.11vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.55-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Tufts University0.9613.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Vermont0.085.9%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University1.3518.3%1st Place
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4.46Bowdoin College1.1814.1%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0811.2%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College-0.523.0%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University-0.322.8%1st Place
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4.0Northeastern University1.5916.9%1st Place
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7.53Northeastern University0.174.7%1st Place
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8.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.313.2%1st Place
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5.89Bowdoin College0.766.5%1st Place
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10.52Bates College-1.550.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Marina Garrido | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Sandra Yale | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
Matthew Wallace | 18.3% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Ethan Danielson | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Peter McGonagle | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Charlie Apolinsky | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 13.4% |
Aidan Pesce | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 8.9% |
Adrian Winkelman | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Ashley Arruda | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
Griffen Horne | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 9.0% |
Christine Reimer | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
Gray Dinsel | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.