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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+2.74vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.11+3.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+1.41vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.34+4.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+0.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-1.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.17-2.45vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.55+1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.51-2.38vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.12+0.47vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.61-1.82vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.11vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-1.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.78-2.57vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.41Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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4.85Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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10.27Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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11.47Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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12.43Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 21.5% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Chabot | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 7.8% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 17.0% |
| Minot Frye | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 12.1% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.