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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marina Garrido 13.0% 12.7% 12.2% 9.2% 11.8% 12.2% 10.1% 7.7% 6.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Sandra Yale 5.9% 5.5% 5.7% 6.0% 7.5% 8.3% 10.2% 11.2% 12.0% 13.5% 10.2% 3.9%
Matthew Wallace 18.3% 15.9% 15.6% 12.8% 11.8% 10.1% 5.8% 5.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Ethan Danielson 14.1% 13.6% 13.6% 13.8% 11.8% 9.4% 9.6% 6.5% 4.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Peter McGonagle 11.2% 11.4% 10.8% 12.2% 11.9% 11.5% 9.8% 8.5% 6.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.6%
Charlie Apolinsky 3.0% 4.1% 2.9% 4.7% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 9.6% 11.2% 15.6% 19.4% 13.4%
Aidan Pesce 2.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 7.7% 7.5% 10.5% 13.2% 14.8% 17.4% 8.9%
Adrian Winkelman 16.9% 16.6% 15.8% 13.2% 10.8% 8.6% 7.8% 5.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Ashley Arruda 4.7% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 6.9% 6.5% 10.4% 10.2% 12.5% 14.1% 13.5% 6.0%
Griffen Horne 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 6.2% 7.8% 10.6% 12.8% 15.2% 17.2% 9.0%
Christine Reimer 6.5% 7.7% 9.1% 11.4% 10.2% 12.2% 10.4% 11.2% 10.2% 7.1% 3.4% 0.8%
Gray Dinsel 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 3.8% 3.3% 5.2% 8.0% 14.0% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.