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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+0.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.09vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.14-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Rhode Island0.8842.0%1st Place
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2.5University of California at Berkeley0.7326.1%1st Place
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4.09University of California at San Diego-0.707.0%1st Place
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2.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2617.4%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Davis-1.144.4%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.403.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 42.0% | 30.7% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 26.1% | 28.0% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 7.0% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 24.2% | 27.3% | 17.8% |
| Florence Duff | 17.4% | 21.2% | 25.6% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 2.6% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 27.4% | 33.1% |
| Althea White | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 25.8% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.