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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+3.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+2.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+0.75vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.12+7.60vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.34+3.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.11-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.51+0.64vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.20vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27-3.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.17-4.29vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.61-0.83vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-0.10vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.55-2.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.78-1.74vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-2.01vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.38Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.75Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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11.6Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.35Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.71University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.9Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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10.29Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 20.5% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 6.6% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 8.9% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Minot Frye | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 23.9% | 17.2% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 19.3% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.