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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+3.34vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+2.40vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.17+0.72vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-1.17vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.12+4.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.11-2.30vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55+3.82vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.51-2.37vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.34-2.98vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.55-1.67vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.10vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.61-3.89vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.78-2.52vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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3.85Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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4.83Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.53Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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12.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.33Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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11.9Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.48Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.3% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 17.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Richard Bergsund | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 7.9% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Minot Frye | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 11.9% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.