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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+3.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.34+5.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+1.80vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91-0.12vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.12+6.60vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.11-0.14vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97+4.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27-2.68vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55+3.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.78+2.41vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.51-3.45vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.17-6.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.61-3.91vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.55-4.59vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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4.8Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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3.88Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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11.6Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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11.92Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.32Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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12.41Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.41Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 5.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 9.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 17.3% |
| Minot Frye | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 12.7% |
| Henry O'Brien | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Brady | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 18.8% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.