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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+6.79vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+4.84vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.57+5.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.78+4.20vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.06+1.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.59+4.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.95+3.45vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.44+1.37vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.62-0.81vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.26-1.30vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.73-4.54vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-1.30vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.10-6.73vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72-0.94vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.21-5.80vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.87-6.86vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.686.6%1st Place
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6.84University of Miami2.328.6%1st Place
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8.67North Carolina State University1.575.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy1.785.5%1st Place
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6.23Tulane University2.0610.7%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.593.4%1st Place
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10.45Boston University0.954.8%1st Place
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9.37George Washington University1.444.7%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University1.626.6%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University1.265.1%1st Place
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6.46Webb Institute1.7310.8%1st Place
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10.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.003.8%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University2.1010.3%1st Place
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13.06Hampton University0.722.2%1st Place
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9.2Cornell University1.215.6%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont0.874.9%1st Place
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13.5Christopher Newport University0.651.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jensen | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Zander King | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 27.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.