← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.50vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.88+0.01vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40+1.86vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Davis-1.14+0.61vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.04vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5University of California at Berkeley0.7326.1%1st Place
-
2.01University of Rhode Island0.8842.1%1st Place
-
4.86University of California at Santa Cruz-1.403.1%1st Place
-
4.61University of California at Davis-1.144.6%1st Place
-
2.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2617.2%1st Place
-
4.06University of California at San Diego-0.706.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 26.1% | 28.9% | 22.1% | 16.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 42.1% | 29.1% | 17.8% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Althea White | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 13.7% | 26.2% | 44.1% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.6% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 29.0% | 32.9% |
| Florence Duff | 17.2% | 20.8% | 27.7% | 20.1% | 11.5% | 2.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 25.5% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.