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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+4.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.91+1.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.17+1.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.34+3.06vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.12+5.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.02vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.65-3.66vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.11-3.27vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.51-2.38vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.55-0.69vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.61-1.82vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.13vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-1.20vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.78-2.54vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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3.81Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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4.71Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.75University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.55Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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10.31Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.87Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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12.46Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.3% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 14.8% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 6.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 7.5% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 16.6% |
| Minot Frye | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 12.5% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.