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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.65+3.78vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+4.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.68+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.46+2.76vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.53+1.43vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas1.77-3.71vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-2.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-5.51vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.08-1.15vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.83-0.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-4.07vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.17-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78University of Texas1.6513.2%1st Place
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6.77California Poly Maritime Academy0.976.6%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.9%1st Place
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8.08University of California at San Diego0.685.2%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Los Angeles1.488.9%1st Place
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8.76University of Washington0.463.8%1st Place
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8.43San Diego State University0.534.5%1st Place
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4.29University of North Texas1.7717.3%1st Place
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6.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.138.4%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.6%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Berkeley-0.082.4%1st Place
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11.51California State University Channel Islands-0.831.7%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Davis0.073.4%1st Place
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9.32Northwestern University0.173.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Froelich | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Noah Barton | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Zackery Martin | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Dutch Byerly | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 14.4% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 42.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Matthew Beretta | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.