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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+2.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+3.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.11+2.76vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.34+4.18vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.51+2.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.98vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-2.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.65-3.68vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.17-3.34vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.61+0.26vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.78+1.29vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.12-0.54vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-0.12vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.55-3.78vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-3.01vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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5.36Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.85Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.66University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.29Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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11.46Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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12.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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10.22Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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11.99Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.51University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 20.0% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Minot Frye | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 12.4% |
| Jackson Chabot | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 16.7% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 8.1% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.