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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.51+6.41vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.34+6.04vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.12+8.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+1.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50-0.19vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91-2.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.01vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.11-2.29vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-4.66vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.17-4.30vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.84vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55+0.87vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.61-2.84vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.55-3.73vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.78-2.53vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.51Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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3.83Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.71Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.7University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.27Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry O'Brien | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Chabot | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.7% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 8.4% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 19.4% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Minot Frye | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 19.3% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.