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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.34+6.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+2.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.11+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.51+3.72vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-0.27vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-3.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.12+3.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-4.55vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.78+1.31vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.61-1.82vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.08vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.55-3.77vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-2.03vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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4.76Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.86Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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11.39Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.31Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.92Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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10.23Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Bergsund | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.3% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.7% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 11.9% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 8.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 23.1% | 18.0% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.