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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+0.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.14-0.41vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Rhode Island0.8844.2%1st Place
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2.54University of California at Berkeley0.7325.6%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Cruz-1.402.9%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego-0.707.5%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Davis-1.144.2%1st Place
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3.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2615.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 44.2% | 28.1% | 17.3% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 25.6% | 27.6% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Althea White | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 25.9% | 44.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 24.4% | 25.7% | 17.9% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 28.9% | 32.9% |
| Florence Duff | 15.6% | 22.1% | 26.6% | 21.5% | 11.1% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.