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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.51+5.52vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.34+5.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+0.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+0.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91-2.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.08vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.11-2.31vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.12+2.46vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.61+0.29vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.78+0.38vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.17-7.39vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.55-3.72vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-2.02vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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7.52University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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4.88Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.43Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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3.83Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.69Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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11.46Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.82Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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5.61University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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10.28Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 16.0% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 19.9% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 6.5% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 7.8% |
| Minot Frye | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 13.6% |
| Connor Brady | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 22.4% | 17.6% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.