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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+4.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.51+4.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+0.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.91-1.18vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.34+2.15vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.11-1.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.12+2.47vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-4.56vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.61-0.81vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.78+0.38vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.13vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-1.19vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.55-4.55vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.25-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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4.72Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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4.47Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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3.82Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.47Boston University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.44Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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11.87Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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10.45Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 14.6% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 14.7% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 20.2% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Bo McClatchy | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 5.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Minot Frye | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 12.8% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 8.1% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 16.2% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.