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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40+0.90vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.14-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of California at Berkeley0.7327.9%1st Place
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2.03University of Rhode Island0.8838.6%1st Place
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4.08University of California at San Diego-0.707.3%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.402.9%1st Place
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3.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2618.1%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Davis-1.145.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 27.9% | 27.6% | 23.1% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 38.6% | 32.7% | 18.6% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 24.6% | 25.9% | 18.4% |
| Althea White | 2.9% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 25.4% | 44.5% |
| Florence Duff | 18.1% | 19.6% | 26.6% | 20.2% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 28.7% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.