Race 1A

rainier-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Zachary Forcade 24.4% 21.2% 18.8% 14.1% 10.5% 6.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Peter McGrath 19.7% 25.1% 18.5% 14.5% 10.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Lily Grimshaw 23.8% 19.2% 16.8% 17.3% 10.8% 7.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Eliza Pearce 4.5% 5.1% 6.4% 7.8% 13.1% 13.3% 15.7% 20.6% 13.5%
Debbi Kenote 7.2% 10.4% 11.4% 12.5% 13.5% 14.7% 13.9% 10.7% 5.7%
Ciara Anderson 4.9% 5.7% 7.0% 9.6% 12.3% 13.7% 18.1% 19.1% 9.6%
Austin Sandifer 6.7% 6.0% 8.7% 11.5% 12.1% 17.4% 16.3% 15.2% 6.1%
Alex Lubben 7.0% 5.8% 9.9% 10.1% 13.5% 14.7% 17.2% 14.3% 7.5%
Jackson Thomas 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 5.7% 8.2% 17.1% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.