Race 2A

rainier-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter McGrath 24.3% 21.4% 19.7% 13.3% 11.2% 6.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Lily Grimshaw 18.1% 23.5% 17.9% 16.3% 9.5% 8.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.3%
Zachary Forcade 24.9% 21.8% 17.2% 15.1% 11.1% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Austin Sandifer 6.9% 6.3% 11.1% 9.8% 14.5% 14.9% 15.0% 15.8% 5.7%
Eliza Pearce 4.3% 5.3% 7.9% 9.4% 9.7% 12.7% 16.5% 18.9% 15.3%
Alex Lubben 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 11.4% 13.9% 15.0% 17.5% 16.0% 5.7%
Debbi Kenote 7.5% 8.3% 9.4% 12.5% 14.5% 16.9% 14.8% 11.7% 4.4%
Ciara Anderson 6.0% 4.5% 6.9% 9.8% 11.9% 14.0% 17.5% 18.0% 11.4%
Jackson Thomas 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.4% 3.7% 5.5% 8.8% 16.4% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.