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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.19+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.10+0.15vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.85+0.34vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.84-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.46-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.63-1.10vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.02-4.84vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.64-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.14University of Washington2.190.2%1st Place
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3.15University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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5.34Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.34Northwestern University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.16Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.85Oregon State University0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 24.9% | 21.1% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Forcade | 19.9% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 23.3% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Austin Sandifer | 6.7% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 5.7% |
| Alex Lubben | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 7.5% |
| Eliza Pearce | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 21.1% | 12.3% |
| Jackson Thomas | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 17.3% | 58.4% |
| Debbi Kenote | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 5.7% |
| Ciara Anderson | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.