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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.50vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.14-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Rhode Island0.8841.8%1st Place
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2.5University of California at Berkeley0.7326.4%1st Place
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3.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2616.3%1st Place
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4.12University of California at San Diego-0.706.5%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.404.3%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Davis-1.144.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 41.8% | 29.2% | 18.1% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 26.4% | 28.1% | 23.4% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Florence Duff | 16.3% | 20.8% | 25.1% | 22.0% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 6.5% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 23.2% | 28.4% | 18.0% |
| Althea White | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 44.1% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 27.8% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.