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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.10+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.19-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.46+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.63+1.73vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.84-1.54vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.64-2.11vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.02-4.85vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.85-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Washington2.190.3%1st Place
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6.09University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.46Northwestern University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.89Oregon State University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.15Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.45Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 24.4% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 17.2% | 24.7% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 25.2% | 21.8% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 14.0% |
| Jackson Thomas | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 56.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 7.1% |
| Ciara Anderson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 9.7% |
| Debbi Kenote | 8.4% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 5.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.