← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.49+7.76vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.22vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College4.05+3.57vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy4.16+1.95vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.08vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.92+4.91vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.31+2.29vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.64-0.08vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.78-1.65vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.13+0.27vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.81-3.54vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.73-0.09vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania1.69+1.75vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.57vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University1.61+0.11vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-9.19vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.11-3.15vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College3.00-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.76University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
-
6.57Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
5.95U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
-
7.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
10.91Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
-
9.29Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
-
7.92College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
-
7.35Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
-
10.27Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
7.46Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
-
11.91Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
-
14.75University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
-
15.11Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
-
6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
13.85Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.36SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stocke | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zach Runci | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Mac Mace | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Christian Manchester | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% |
| William Pilling | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 30.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| George Powell | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 19.9% | 34.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| Ted Green | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.