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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.10+2.27vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.19+0.08vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.02+1.26vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.64-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.46-0.60vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.85-2.30vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.53-2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.78-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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3.19Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Washington2.190.3%1st Place
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5.26Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.94Oregon State University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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5.7Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.31Northwestern University0.530.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 21.3% | 20.7% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Peter McGrath | 19.5% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Forcade | 25.4% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 8.7% |
| Ciara Anderson | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 22.3% |
| Austin Sandifer | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 11.3% |
| John Hodges | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 23.1% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.