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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.10+2.26vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.64+4.29vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.85+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.46+2.30vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.02+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.78-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.19-3.91vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.21-4.93vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.53-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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6.29Oregon State University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.73Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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5.18Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Washington2.190.2%1st Place
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3.07Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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6.28Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 21.1% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ciara Anderson | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 18.9% |
| Austin Sandifer | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 23.1% |
| Debbi Kenote | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.2% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 13.5% |
| Zachary Forcade | 23.2% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Peter McGrath | 24.7% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| John Hodges | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.