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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.04vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.14-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Rhode Island0.8841.8%1st Place
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2.51University of California at Berkeley0.7326.4%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego-0.707.6%1st Place
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2.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2616.8%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Davis-1.144.8%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Santa Cruz-1.402.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 41.8% | 31.4% | 16.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 26.4% | 27.2% | 23.2% | 16.4% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 28.1% | 16.4% |
| Florence Duff | 16.8% | 21.3% | 27.0% | 20.3% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 28.9% | 31.9% |
| Althea White | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 23.9% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.