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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.10+2.24vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21+1.21vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.53+3.35vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.85+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.19-1.92vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.64+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.46-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.78-2.20vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.02-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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3.21Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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6.35Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.53Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.08University of Washington2.190.3%1st Place
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6.02Oregon State University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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5.3Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 21.6% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 19.4% | 22.3% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| John Hodges | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 23.4% |
| Austin Sandifer | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 11.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 25.8% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Anderson | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 16.7% |
| Eliza Pearce | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 24.2% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.