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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.69+2.51vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.14+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.28-1.36vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.20-2.21vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.53-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.76-3.82vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University0.76-4.76vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.03-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Washington1.690.2%1st Place
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4.59Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Washington2.280.3%1st Place
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2.79Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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5.65Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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5.24Oregon State University0.760.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Flanagan | 15.4% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Angela Gossom | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% |
| Sam Parish | 30.2% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Casey Pruitt | 26.2% | 24.6% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| John Hodges | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 20.4% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 13.9% |
| Aike Burger | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 15.5% |
| Kaili Swetland | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.