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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.69+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.28-0.34vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.20-1.23vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.14-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76-0.76vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.53-1.41vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.76-2.74vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.03-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Washington1.690.2%1st Place
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2.66University of Washington2.280.3%1st Place
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2.77Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.57Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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5.59Northwestern University0.530.1%1st Place
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5.26Oregon State University0.760.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Flanagan | 16.2% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Sam Parish | 28.0% | 26.3% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Casey Pruitt | 27.7% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Angela Gossom | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 13.0% |
| John Hodges | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 22.1% |
| Aike Burger | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| Kaili Swetland | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 21.8% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.