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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.52vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.40-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.14-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Rhode Island0.8843.0%1st Place
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2.52University of California at Berkeley0.7325.2%1st Place
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3.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2616.4%1st Place
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4.08University of California at San Diego-0.707.6%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Cruz-1.403.4%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Davis-1.144.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 43.0% | 30.6% | 17.2% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 25.2% | 28.1% | 25.2% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Florence Duff | 16.4% | 20.8% | 25.8% | 22.7% | 11.3% | 3.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 24.9% | 25.6% | 18.7% |
| Althea White | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 24.4% | 45.9% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 30.6% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.