← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.28+1.62vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington1.69-0.39vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University2.20-2.23vs Predicted
-
7Oregon State University0.76-1.79vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University0.44-2.25vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University1.14-4.51vs Predicted
-
10University of Oregon-0.03-3.54vs Predicted
-
11University of Oregon0.76-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.62University of Washington2.280.3%1st Place
-
3.61University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
-
2.77Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
-
5.21Oregon State University0.760.1%1st Place
-
5.75Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
-
4.49Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
-
6.46University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
-
5.1University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Parish | 30.2% | 25.6% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 15.0% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Casey Pruitt | 26.3% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Aike Burger | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 13.5% |
| Marius Malkevicius | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 21.7% |
| Angela Gossom | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Kaili Swetland | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 43.8% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.