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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.28+1.59vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.76+3.22vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.14+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.69-1.42vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.20-4.18vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.76-2.85vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.03-3.52vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.44-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of Washington2.280.3%1st Place
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5.22Oregon State University0.760.1%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Washington1.690.2%1st Place
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2.82Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.15University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.66Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Parish | 30.4% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Aike Burger | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 13.5% |
| Angela Gossom | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 15.6% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Casey Pruitt | 24.9% | 25.9% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 13.8% |
| Kaili Swetland | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 44.7% |
| Marius Malkevicius | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.