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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.87+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.69+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.76+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.25-2.37vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.76-0.86vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.14-2.57vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.44-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.03-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.51University of Washington1.690.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University0.760.1%1st Place
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4.43Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.71Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Oregon-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 22.5% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 16.2% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 14.9% |
| Kris Thompson | 30.2% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Aike Burger | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 12.8% |
| Angela Gossom | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% |
| Marius Malkevicius | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 24.5% |
| Kaili Swetland | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.